Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Simple Minds

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We live in a very complex word, and it grows more complex by the day. But let’s set aside all the uncertainties, possibilities, relationships, and exogenous outliers. Let’s strip it away and focus on the basics.

It’s quite evident that being simple-minded in 2009 was the way to go. The President said to go out and buy stocks. The Federal Reserve made it absolutely clear they were going to pour everything they had into “saving” the economy. Any member of John Q. Public who naively took them out their word has made out fabulously well to this day. We sit at lifetime highs in equity markets, in spite of a $23 trillion debt which is going to grow $1 trillion per year (at least) as far as the eye can see.

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Silver & Gold to Inform Dr. Copper and so, the Macro

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They call copper the metal with the Ph.D. in Economics. But these days Doctor Copper is little more than a quack in that regard, taking a cue from the metals whose interplay will be critical to deciding the coming macro for 2020 and the run up to the next US election. Thus, they are the 3 Metallic Amigos, riding together but providing different signals at different times (this being nftrh.com, you will have to put up with the odd shtick from time to time).

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