Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Set Free from Gold

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…………..the Fed and Both Aisles Ruined America

With gold no longer an austerity anchor, the Fed and both aisles of government have brought America to this point – call in the Screw Worm!

Pardon the mostly non-market related post. But it’s something I’ve wanted to put in writing for a long time. The Fed is at the controls of the inflation-making machinery in the US (as are global central banks in their own countries).

Inflation does not just appear, as if by some mystical financial mechanism. Inflation is produced with the ease of firing up the printing press. More dollars + finite assets = asset prices rising in those inflated dollars. Not rocket science.

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Notes From the Rabbit Hole

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Silhouettes of a bull and a bear representing market trends, with a white rabbit sitting between them, all set against a white background.
NFTRH 917

This report started out like any other. A geek doing his geek-like thing, managing what has been a thus far successful market phase. But as the report wore on, my views got right-sized in real time. I have not edited (other than grammar and some untoward wording, etc. and the italicized summary inputs) anything, so as to leave the progression of my learning on the fly intact for your review. It is published publicly with slight edits and certain actionable subscriber content redacted.

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More Than ‘Just a Bubble’

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The Semiconductor Bubble is about over-valuation and momentum, outstanding fundamentals will not stop the correction to come

Note: Never will you read one word of my material that has been edited or altered, let alone written by, AI. It is unfortunate that this even needs to be stated, but it’s out there, folks. Content written by machines. Outside of ‘quant’, you cannot automate real market analysis.

Harken back, if you will, to a time some hazy years ago that I sold Nvidia too soon and neglected to buy it back on its long journey upward, leading the Semiconductor bubble to come by a country mile. I since traded it a couple times, but the real money had been made by others.

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Gold’s Leadership Handoff

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Gold’s leadership was on display last year, but it’s a new phase in 2026

Before beginning this article, it is time to introduce a short note to precede my posts:

Never will you read one word of my material that has been edited or altered, let alone written by, AI. It is unfortunate that this even needs to be stated, but it’s out there, folks. Content written by machines. Outside of ‘quant’, you cannot automate real market analysis.

Gold’s utility includes…

  • Inflation protection? Yes, over the long-term because central banks and governments are agents of inflation over the long-term. Over any shorter-term phase, it’s inflation utility is suspect, or secondary to other items like silver and commodities.
  • Disaster protection? Yes, if you define disaster as the economic condition we are heading headlong toward as a result of the above. War? Terror? Pestilence? Please.
  • Insurance? Yes, look no further than its leadership role in 2025, as it alone kicked off the next macro phase while most markets tanked on global trade fears.
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Phase Two: Commodities

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Macro shifts in favor of commodity related stocks

This is not Grandpa’s macro, and these are not Grandpa’s commodities. The traditional commodity complex has shifted to more critical status, amplified by progressing technology, and it probably goes without saying, global trade tensions/wars.

Phase 2; Gold’s Handoff to the Wider Commodity Spectrum

We are in the next phase, whereby gold led (as usual) all markets in H1, 2025, silver then took over from gold (Silver/Gold ratio exploded upward) and the positive market effects spread to commodities, and in our particular area of interest, critical or strategic commodities (like Cu, Ni, Li, REE, u3o8, etc.).

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