Bob and Weave

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Coreweave (CRWV) is at the center of the whole hyperscaling build-out, and as such, it has the potential to completely burn to the ground. I’d be tempted to short this based on its rounded top, but there’s a reason I’m not touching it: because all three instances of such a pattern led to either nothing more than brief downturn or, for the largest one, absolutely nothing.

My reluctance to take a position probably guarantees this thing will finally enter the collapse it so richly deserves.

Just Die Already

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It’s been an odd morning. I came into the day totally short (obviously) and the market was raging higher. I was down, but not by much. Then my portfolio started strengthening steadfastly, even with the market continuing to thrust higher, and once the /ES fell out of bed, my portfolio absolutely skyrocketed in value.

We’ve erased almost the entire drop as of this moment (and the goddamned /ES and /NQ are both up over half a percent again) but this behavior of my own portfolio is that it is able to defy even the harebrained buying going on right now. Still, it would be nice if a plunge would actually not get undone!