Good God Almighty! I seriously thought we were done with this. I was driving at the time, so I’m glad I wasn’t staring at an ES chart during this mayhem, but………..IMHO OMG:

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Good God Almighty! I seriously thought we were done with this. I was driving at the time, so I’m glad I wasn’t staring at an ES chart during this mayhem, but………..IMHO OMG:

I had an interesting psychological experience I thought I’d share on this cool Thursday evening, as I sit in the night air.
I run a tiny hedge fund which, not surprisingly, focuses on short-selling. In spite of the market running up to lifetime highs this quarter (indeed, just days ago), I had booked a respectable profit, and I was satisfied with my results. And then………..I got scared.
(more…)I cannot profess to tell others how to effectively manage their accounts because I am a lowly participant who is learning all the time. The truth is that 2019’s learning is much different than 2018’s learning was, which was different than 2016, 2011, 2008/2009 and other pivotal market phases. So I’d say that the biggest lesson to learn has been the concept of marrying adaptability with discipline.
Cookie cutter advisers and brokers have it easier. They’re the majority of market professionals and they’ve learned and set in stone the way of allocating into markets; 60/40 stocks to bonds or some such variant. But for something more effective than ‘cookie cutter’, you need to keep learning, adapting and holding discipline as long as your signals remain valid.
(more…)I sometimes talk about patience when it comes to positions, irrespective of whether they are long or short. I wanted to offer an example below in the form of Gulfport Energy (GPOR). What’s intriguing about this is the size and clarity of the topping pattern. Everything above that horizontal line is a squeaky-clean top (this image was as the stock looked months ago).
