Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Don’t Let It End

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It’s all well and good that the market is falling to pieces, but I hate days like this, because I’m concerned we are nearing yet another bounce. I hate bounces. We’ve had five years of them, and they always wind up doing the worst thing possible: moving to new highs. I am seriously thinking of covering positions right now (not all, but some), but I’m going to do it on a stock-by-stock basis. Suffice it to say that my positions have done quite well, but five years of agony can break one’s will to stay firmly in position. Maybe it’s sensible. Maybe it’s foolish. But empirical data suggests our bullish friends might be getting into position soon. The median line of the channel below has to be broken. If it is, then we can start to break the spirit of those bastard bulls. Stay tuned.

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Annoying with a Capital A

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One would be hard-pressed, I think, to find any trader – be they bull or bear – who is in love with 2014 so far. Below is a simplified chart of the ES for the year so far. As you can see, we’ve gone absolutely nowhere. If the market rips higher, it just sells off. If the market plunges (as it did, as so often before, this morning), it simply recovers. Only the most nimble (and fortunate) ES traders are thriving. For the rest of us…….this kind of action gets old pretty quickly……

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