Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Ambiguity

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am·bi·gu·i·ty

/ˌambəˈɡyo͞owədē/

noun

  1. the quality of being open to more than one interpretation; inexactness.

Learning to deal with ambiguity is a key skill for the trader and investor.  We like certainty.  It makes us feel good.  The first time when something we are certain of in the market goes the opposite direction it can be wildly jarring.  Growth is possible here, the results of which can be very profitable.  This is where learning to identify and manage ambiguity is key.  Understanding this about your inner makeup is a key first step. 

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Can The Metals Still See One More Bout Of Weakness?

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Originally published on Sat Oct 19 on ElliottWaveTrader.net: With RGLD following through to the downside as expected in its c-wave decline, the question we are left with is if there is any more weakness to be expected in the metals complex before we begin the next major rally phase?

The simple answer is that while the patterns still suggest that a lower low can still be seen, it is not something I would be suggesting you trade for in an aggressive fashion.

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Silver & Gold to Inform Dr. Copper and so, the Macro

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They call copper the metal with the Ph.D. in Economics. But these days Doctor Copper is little more than a quack in that regard, taking a cue from the metals whose interplay will be critical to deciding the coming macro for 2020 and the run up to the next US election. Thus, they are the 3 Metallic Amigos, riding together but providing different signals at different times (this being nftrh.com, you will have to put up with the odd shtick from time to time).

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Silver/Gold Ratio is a Guide as Inflation Signals Fade Again

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The interplay between gold and silver is a critical component to understanding what is out ahead; to understanding whether long-term Treasury yields will rise and if they rise, whether it will be due to inflationary pressures. It is a critical component to understanding whether cyclical commodities and other aspects of a greater inflation/reflation trade will finally break existing downtrends. See…

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1600 Gold?

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How about that…since I wrote my post of January 23, GOLD Futures (GC) finally hit just above its target price of 1550 on August 26…and it carried on to make a 2019 high of 1566.20 on September 4, for a gain of 21.58% from that date.

The moving average Golden Cross, that had just formed a couple of days prior to that, held, price retested the 200 MA (which is normal after these form), and the formation is still in play, as shown on the following daily chart of GC.

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