Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Looking at Crypto Support Levels

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In December I was leaning towards seeing a retracement / consolidation on Crypto in the first half of this year and then strong new highs towards the end of the year with possible bull market highs pencilled in for Nov/Dec 2025.

That retracement / consolidation is now in progress and I’ll be looking today at the key support levels I’ll be watching on what I expect to be a bullish consolidation.

Is it possible that the Crypto bull market has already ended? Yes, but I’m leaning against that. I’ll be explaining why that is in my next post.

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So Here We Are

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In my last post on Monday 10th Feb I was looking at the bull flag setups on SPX and QQQ and the historically bullish lean into yesterday and projecting that we might well see retests of the all time highs in that bullish window. We saw that all time high retest on QQQ on Friday and on SPX yesterday. So what now?

Well we now have impressive topping patterns on SPX and QQQ and a bearish window has started that runs through to the end of February, with notably bearish leaning days on Thursday and Friday this week, Monday 24th Feb and Friday 28th Feb. We will see how that develops.

On SPX the bullish setup I was looking at last week was a bull flag megaphone and that delivered a very marginal new all time high yesterday. The bearish pattern setup here is now a possible nested double top.

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War? UNH! What’s It Good For?

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A Bear Call Spread in Action

Three weeks ago, I highlighted a trade setup inspired by Tim’s post, “War? UNH! What’s It Good For?” Tim identified a potential bearish opportunity in United Healthcare (UNH), and I followed up with post stating an alternative way to take advantage of te set-up using a high-probability, risk-defined trade to capitalize on the setup.

Fast forward to today, and we can successfully close that position for a gain just shy of 20%. A tidy profit in three weeks time. But markets, much like history, have a way of repeating themselves, and a similar opportunity may be setting up once again.

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The Art of Survival and Growth

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Position-Sizing Strategies for Options Traders

Trading is an unforgiving game. Many enter, few last. The difference between those who thrive and those who falter is often a function of risk—specifically, how much capital they allocate to any given trade. Enter position sizing, an indispensable weapon in any trader’s arsenal, shaping both longevity and profitability.

Successful traders don’t think in terms of individual wins and losses, but rather in the law of large numbers. The goal isn’t to avoid losses, but to ensure they never deliver a knockout blow. Whether you trade credit spreads, iron condors, or directional plays, understanding how to size positions appropriately is critical.

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