Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

A Dozen Remarks

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As we enter a new trading week, I wanted to go through the most interesting index charts and say a few words about each. You’ll find these musings in the caption area, and, as always, you can click on a chart for a larger version. The first three are visible to everyone, and the rest are only for paying members.

The “face-off” with the All World Index remains agonizingly unresolved. I’ve got to say, this looks like it “wants” to break out. On the other hand, a slump out of this pattern (that is to say, lower and to the right) would be devastating for the bulls.

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Back At Major Resistance

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Well the bearish stats for Wednesday and Thursday this week did not deliver, which was remarkable yesterday as at the start of the day there were hourly sell signals fixed on all of ES, NQ, RTY & YM. That equities went up hard instead was an impressive show of strength, bringing SPX back up into a full test of key resistance at the monthly middle band, now at 4169.46, but not broken until there is a monthly close above it, and the main support/resistance trendline from the 2009 low.

That is still very strong resistance, but after the rejection back up here, and the very strong action over the last two days, I’m increasing the odds of a break above from 25% from 35%.

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What Novice Investors Can Learn From The SVB Fiasco

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There are a lot of complex questions relating to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) that will go unanswered for years. Following the banks’ fall from grace, and causing perhaps one of the most frantic banking crises since 2008, investors and depositors, and even government committees remain puzzled over the legitimacy of America’s banking system and the future risks that could be bubbling underneath the surface. 

Considering how these events unfolded over several months, which was a culmination of poor risk management, inadequate regulation, bulging interest rates over the last two years, and liquidity issues; novice investors could learn from these failures alongside their more seasoned peers. 

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Gold Suppression or Confidence?

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Gold price suppression is the excuse du jour for its lack of relative performance; but that is not the reason

First let me get this in print up front; the gold price (like most/all markets) is manipulated in different ways. It can be talked down, it can be subject to paper buying/selling that does not bear resemblance to its street value (per the supply/demand dynamics of the physical market), and it can be subject to misguided mass emotions, both on the upside and downside. All markets are manipulated in one way or another or stimulated by mass emotion. For example, every time a Fed mouthpiece opens its orifice and the market reacts, it is manipulation by definition.

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