Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Crypto – So Now What?

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In my last post on Friday I was saying that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) had just broken over the previous week’s high at 102.7k and, as I noted on Monday 13th Jan, that was the right shoulder high on the H&S that had broken down. The break up on Friday invalidated that H&S and that break fixed a target at the retest of the all time high at 108.4k.

That target at the retest of the all-time high was reached quickly amid a wild weekend with the launch of Trump and Melania’s astonishingly popular meme coins, and that leaves a possible large double top setup on Bitcoin that I am not taking particularly seriously at this stage.

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Buffing My Fingernails Modestly

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SPX retested the all time high today, and so the first, though not the only, upside target of the upside scenario that I laid out at the start of next week has been reached.

In my post on Monday 13th Jan I was stating that SPX was at the bottom of the big inflection point that has been forming, and that we were likely to see either a serious break down or a rejection back into the highs, showing the possible bull flag setups on SPX, QQQ, DIA and IWM.

In my post on Wednesday 15th Jan I was looking at the rally from Monday’s low, with the bullish reversal patterns forming on SPX, QQQ and DIA that would likely take them higher, and on SPX should open the test of the main resistance level at the daily middle band That would then need to be broken and converted to support to open the retest of the all time high.

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Contrarian Pivot?

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The stock market’s trends are up, but a contrarian pivot point is likely on the horizon

Excerpted from the January 19 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 845

As an intro to this fundamentally bearish article, I would like to state that strictly as a technical analyst, I have a bullish view of the US stock market. There can be no other view for a TA, given the firm uptrends. But from the macro-fundamental side of things, danger signals aplenty manifested in 2024, into the new year.

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