Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

What’s In Store For Oil?

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We can see from the 3-Year Daily comparison chart below that, for the most part, Gold, Platinum and WTI Crude Oil have traded in tandem, although Oil has seen far more volatile swings.

Since December of last year, Gold and Platinum have attempted to stabilize and rally from their 3-year lows, while Oil’s attempted rally was very short-lived, and price continues to plummet to new lows…we’ll see if today’s (Wednesday’s) volume spike signals capitulation, or not, as shown on the next chart (5-Year Daily).

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It Won’t Be Boring

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Well, I’m feeling somewhat better today. I got a full night’s rest, my Vail-chapped-lips aren’t quite as cracked, and I’m not standing like a fool with no positions looking at a market in a free-fall. On the contrary, I’ve got a modest number of shorts, and last night’s rally has clearly lost its mojo. So it’s time to start the new year fresh.

I stated yesterday that I was enthusiastic on the long side with respect to energy and gold. Well, that didn’t last. Gold, as it always does, couldn’t manage to hold a strong rally together, in spite of global news that in the old days would have sent it roaring higher. And energy, after a bullish breakout, completely slumped beneath its horizontal.

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Oil Still in Bullish Formation

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The “good news” for oil is that last week’s up-move exhibits bullish form from $34.12 to $38.28.  If accurate, this means that after the current pullback runs its course, NYMEX Crude Oil should embark on another upleg that takes out $38.28 to challenge more extensive resistance at $39.00-$40.00.

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Where will the pullback run its course?  My optimal target buy zone is $36.20-$35.50.

Originally published on MPTrader.com by Mike Paulenoff.