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Ya know, I’ll be glad that, in a few hours, none of us will have to be thinking about two words for another year. The first word is Jackson. The second is Hole. But, for now, we have to listen to the snare drum rolling in the background.
As a distraction, the all-important CPE inflation number came in, and it came in pretty soft:
I stumbled upon something sort of interesting, which I thought I’d share on this evening before the massively-important CPI report.
Our dear friends in the federal government (you know, the place where you send almost 40% of all your income in exchange for paying for a bunch of people that hate each other to argue endlessly and get nothing done) put together an awesome website that lets you calculate present-day buying power based on dollars from a prior date. You can see how the best and brightest go to work for the government when you see this amazing user interface they put together, which looks like something a beginning HTML coder would have done in 1996:
It’s the CPI, of course. It’ll come tumbling out Wednesday morning, an hour before the opening bell. Last month, the month-over-month change was 1.3%. This month, the forecast is an absolutely puny 0.2%. Given the success of projections lately, I’m not so sure……..
Sloper LZ wrote to me and offered to share these charts with the group with the message that “Does that 2008 top look like the current top? If the analog holds, it screams deflation is coming.” Thank you, LZ!
