Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The First Five Trading Days Of January

By -

The holidays are ending and volume should be coming back into markets next week as players return. New Year’s Day on Wednesday is obviously a holiday as well, and the five trading days after that will be closely watched to deliver an indication of how the rest of 2020 might go. I’ll be looking at that stat closely later in this post but first I’ll review SPX and NDX and the position as traders return for the last two trading days of 2019. I would note again that the last trading day of the year is the only historically strongly bearish day in December, with SPX closing down 67% of the time, and Nasdaq down 15 of the last 19 years.

(more…)

Thanksgiving Week and End of Year Trends

By -

from MoneyMiser21: Before you slide up to the table for extra helpings of turkey, stuffing, and pumpkin pie… there are several 21st Century trade trends you may want to consider before Thanksgiving week arrives.

THANKSGIVING WEEK TRENDS

Some traders won’t be surprised to learn that the week of Thanksgiving itself shows a bullish trend so far this century. But what you may be surprised to learn is which of the big four indices stands out the most.

(more…)

Much Ado About Nothing

By -

ES has spent the whole of October in a low cycle but so far the action has been all sideways, with a strong rally last week taking SPX back close to the highs on the hope of a China deal. There was a China deal, albeit more of a glorified breathing space while more talks continue on the many tricky points of contention on which there seems to have been little or no progress so far, and there was good news for Soy and Lean Hogs, which are now cleared for purchase by China. With the Asian swine epidemic having had such a severe effect on herds Lean Hogs particularly look like a very interesting long here.

(more…)