Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Finding Your Inner Genius (by Leisa)

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This post may be a little of "postcards from the edge"–and it is a retread from my blog. I'm a big believer in the importance of creativity and non-linear thinking. One of my favorite books is How to Think like Leonardo Da Vinci: Seven Steps to Genius Every Day, by Michael Gelb. From his website:

Michael J. Gelb, is the world’s leading authority on the application of genius thinking to personal and organizational development. He is a pioneer in the fields of creative thinking, accelerated learning, and innovative leadership.



I count this book as one of the cornerstones in my own personal/professional development. In this book, Gelb lays out what he calls Seven Davincian Principles—a distillation of the seven things that are common to genius–and exemplified by our acclaimed geniuses. I believe that there is genius within all of us. Why not give that genius a little fresh air?
To give you a kick start, I wanted to present the Seven Davincian Principles. In resurrecting my former post, I was reminded that I used to have these by my desk as a reminder to integrate these principles into my everyday matters  I will post them in a conspicuous place again, for I believe that they are that important:

The Seven Davincian Principles


Curiosita
—An insatiably curious approach to life and an unrelenting quest
for continuous learning.

Dimostrazione—A commitment to test knowledge through experience,
persistence, and a willingness to learn from mistakes.


Sensazione
—The continual refinement of the senses, especially sight, as the
means to enliven experience.


Sfumate
(literally “Going up in Smoke”)—A willingness to embrace ambiguity,
paradox, and uncertainty.

Arte/Scienza—The development of the balance between science and art, logic
and imagination. “Whole-brain” thinking.

Corporalita—The cultivation of grace, ambidexterity, fitness, and poise.

Connessione—A recognition of and appreciation for the interconnectedness
of all things and phenomena. Systems thinking.

Source: How to Think like Leonardo da Vinci: Seven Steps to Genius Everday, Michael J. Gelb, p. 9.


It's not a large jump to see how these principles can operate within our own personal and professional lives. These principles present for us a personal "balanced score card" providing avenues of development that we may not have traveled previously.

After reading this book, I was inspired to get an artist's sketch pad. I then forced myself to do something that I've never done beyond stick figures:  draw.  My first subject was my ancient cat, Kip.  In trying to draw him, I was forced to do something that I had never done before–SEE him–his contours, his shades of gray and the perfect curvature of his eyes.

If any of these principles resonate with you and you want to see your own genius like I saw my cat, then I hope that this post inspires you to explore your own creativity and find a means to give voice to it. In a future post, I'll introduce you to mind mapping.

The Three Books I Always Recommend

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I wanted to share a post on books that I recommend. There are many terrific books on markets and trading.  However,  I recommend these books because I still remember their profound impact on my development as a student of the market–being a student of the market is always the base from which I write. These books provide the context in which everything else I read gets processed.

Long term Slopers have seen me recommend and/or quote from these over the years.  My hope, too, is that this post will engender some discussion from the Slope community to proffer their own suggestions for books that have shaped their development as a market participant.

Importantly, books are like people: some settle better with our personalities than others.  Accordingly, your mileage (enjoyment) might vary from mine.

  • Psychology of the Stock Market,
    G. C. Selden: A 1914 copyright date reminds you as you reading it that
    the more things change, the more they stay the same. Though I recommend
    your buying this slim volume, it can be downloaded from Google books here. While many recommend Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, all of the pith of that book can be found in this slim volume.
  • Secrets to Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets,
    Stan Weinstein. The charts in the book are not of the quality that our
    contemporary eye would hold them to. I wished the book would get
    updated. But this book is the best "must read" for new
    investors/traders. The book does a great job codifying do's and don'ts–basically it helps you to minimize 'stupid stuff'.  My only regret is that I didn't read this book in my first year of trading.
  • The Nature of Risk,
    Justin Mamis. This book will inform your thinking about risk in the
    market and cultivate an understanding of time risk, price risk and
    information risk. I realized from this book that my expectations of risk are counter-intuitive to what I thought.

(Side note: I read Weinstein long before
I discovered Mamis. And in reading Mamis, I was struck that Weinstein's
book spoke about similar principles. I later learned that Weinstein
became the editor of Mamis's The Professional Tape Reader. For fans of
Helen Meisler, she was mentioned in the forward to one of Mamis's
books. He was her mentor–"the very best mentor one could have.")

I'm now going to add a fourth book to the the trio above:

  • Beating the Stock Market,
    R. W. McNeel. Another oldie–1924. It's a slim volume that reminds us
    that while the market seems complicated, it really isn't. I will
    forgive his chapter on Women, Poor Losers.

I particularly
recommend these older books to people prone to thinking about the
market as something rigged against them by ranting against the
proverbial "They". Both McNeel and Selden's books address this sinister
"They". Both authors opine, and I paraphrase, that it is the hobgoblin
of minds that do not understand the speculative process. I believe them
to be correct.

Best to free our minds of such shadows. The greatest force that prevents our being successful in the market is ourselves.

I'll leave you with a fitting phrase from Selden:

Capitalists

(The photo is of Minnah.)

Two Very Different Books

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A few days ago, I finally finished reading Evidence-Based Technical Analysis. This book was part of the required reading for the Chartered Market Technician examination, but since only a portion of the book was required for the test, I had never read the whole thing. I decided to do so, and although I didn't really learn anything practical from it for my own trading, it was an interesting read nonetheless.

The book's principal message is that the vast majority – – practically all, really – – of technical analysis is a big, steaming pile o' crap since it isn't based on the scientific method. I found it curious that this book was required by the CMT since the author seems to diss probably 95% of what the CMT membership uses as the basis for their own analysis and trading. It would be sort of like the Catholic Church requiring its membership to read The God Delusion.

The book's message shouldn't be dismissed, of course. The author puts his arguments out there with force and logic, and it is a very reasonable premise. My take on it is that he believes any method that doesn't conform to the rigors of the scientific method (being testable, verifiable, refutable, etc.) is no better than reading goat entrails. The author takes particular aim at the entire realm of Elliott Wave; I won't detail the image that came to mind as I read the author's views about Elliott Wave, but it definitely involved a stack of EW material on the ground and the author unzipping his fly to relieve himself.

In any event, if you're of a scientific or statistical frame of mind, you will probably love the book.

Just about the most different volume I can imagine from the above is the new biography of George Carlin, Last Words. Regular Slopers know that George has been a long-time hero of mine, and although I'm just one-third of the way through this book, I imagine he'll be promoted to Idol by the time I'm done reading it. I am absolutely loving reading this book, and I can tell the final two-thirds will be just as much of a treat. If you're a Carlin fan, you should get it; it's really marvelous, and these days, I am really appreciate of anything that can put a smile on my face.

0304-george

The Cloying Fog

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I'm a realist. I try to see things as they are. Given the nature of the world we live in – – or at least the United States – – this puts my disposition at odds with a meaningful portion of the population. I'm not so much a permabear as a permarealist, but the effect is often the same.

Decades ago, when I worked at Apple, they would spend all kinds of money on "inspirational" speakers and expensive "corporate bonding" outings. As Apple fellow Alan Kay once remarked back then, "What Apple needs is fewer off-sites and more insights." How right he was.

Last night, I finished Bright-Sided, whose subtitle pretty much tells you what the book is about:

0113-bright_sided 

 I thought the book was terrific. I enjoyed it, and I strongly recommend it.

Given the doe-eyed, botox-based, smiley-faced culture that some Americans strive to create, this book was truly refreshing. Our nation has produced a hoard of both religious and secular charlatans whose mission is to separate you from your money, but whose ostensible purpose is to teach you The Secret, create "abudance" in your life, and giving you the power to "manifest" anyone and anything you desire. It's a giant, steaming pile of crap.

As the line from Hannah and Her Sisters goes: "If Jesus came back and saw what they were doing in His name, He'd never stop throwing up." Amen to that.

I've seen this Osteen character's books now and then, with his curly-haired mullet and pearly-white teeth, but I never wanted to pick one up. Having read Bright-Sided, which mentions Osteen's Lakewood Church prominently, I was curious, so I went to their web site. This, seriously, was the first thing I saw:

0113-comes 

 

Well! No wonder it's such a popular place.

Seriously. Buy the book. Embrace reality for what it is. Make the occasionally bits of happiness that truly do appear in life genuine, deep, and memorable. Mindless positive thinking is an empty lie.

Quote of the Month

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After seeing it mentioned many times in the comments section, I finally bought and started reading Fooled by Randomness, which I am enjoying tremendously. I just finished Section 1 of the book.

As I was reading it last night, a quote on page 126 just about knocked me off my feet (and would have, were it not for the fact I was reading it in bed). It is as follows:

A theory that does not present a set of conditions under which it would be considered wrong would be termed charlatanism – it would be impossible to reject otherwise. Why? Because the astrologist can always find a reason to fit the past event, by saying that Mars was probably in line but not too much so (likewise to me a trader who does not have a point that would make him change his mind is not a trader).

Can you imagine what two words instantly sprang to my mind? They rhyme with "Melliott Crave." Not to say that I've reached any kind of final conclusion personally, but I've got to say again, those words really resonated in a way that I bet a lot of readers here can understand.