Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Breaking Back Over The Daily Middle Band

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Stan and I are doing a free public webinar 30 minutes after the close tonight entitled ‘Turn Around Your Trading Part 3’ on turning TA into profitable trades. If you’d like to attend you can register for that on our April Free Webinars page. Stan and Suz will be following that with another webinar on option premium capture, and registration for that is on the same page.

SPX broke back under the daily middle band on SPX on Tuesday, and confirmed the break below at the close yesterday. If SPX breaks back above the daily middle band today, as seems likely at the time of writing, then that will need a confirming close back above tomorrow.

I posted the key declining resistance levels on SPX and ES on my twitter this morning and they were in the 2662 and 2670 areas respectively. The break above today opens a possible retest of last week’s highs and maybe higher. (more…)

Bull Flags Breaking Up

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There is a very strong rally setup coming into today, so I’ve decided to do an AM post this time, with the video below being the section on indices from my premarket video this morning.

The rally setup is the breaks up from bull flags on SPX, NDX and RUT yesterday afternoon and this morning, and the double bottom on SPX that needs to break and convert double bottom resistance at 2683 to fix a double bottom target in the 2705-8 area. If that delivers then all three have a decent shot at a retest of last week’s rally highs. Premarket Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF:

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Another Friday, Another Inflection Point

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Well SPX has finally retraced over the last couple of days, and the bull/bear line that I’m talking about on the video is rising support from the April low. That was tested as expected not long after I recorded the video and that’s holding so far. On a break below this rally has likely ended unexpectedly early. If it holds then SPX should do another leg up into the 2730s and triangle resistance there. I’m leaning towards another leg up unless that trendline support breaks. We shall see. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF:

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The Three Bears

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I was saying last week that a fill of the open gap from 2711.93, I’d be disregarding the Three Day Rule target (a retest of 2553.80). The Three Day Rule target technically hasn’t failed yet, but the first downside scenario is likely failing, and we are now left with the remaining two scenarios.

The secondary scenario is that a large triangle is forming here, and that SPX is heading towards triangle resistance, currently in the 2745 area. As triangles are to an extent a ‘Get Out Of Jail Free’ card for pattern targets, on a fail there we would likely still reach the Three Day Rule target, and I’d add this to the other two exceptions when the rule triggered while a triangle was forming.

If we do see this scenario develop then as SPX moves to triangle resistance NDX and RUT may reach their IHS targets in the 6945 and 1608 areas respectively. (more…)

In The Inflection Point

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Stan and I are doing our monthly free public webinar on the Big Five and Sectors after the close tonight and we’ll be looking at AMZN, AAPL, FB, NFLX, TSLA, IBB, IYR, XLE, XLF, XLK and XRT. If you’d like to attend you can register for that on our April Free Webinars page. We are also of course doing our monthly free public Chart Chat on Sunday and you can register for that on the same page.

The possible triangle resistance on SPX broke and ES and SPX have both broken their respective IHS trendlines at the highs today, so all of ES/SPX, NQ/NDX and TF/RUT have now broken up from their IHS necklines. This is the inflection point I was looking at in Chart Chat on Sunday and if this is going to be a Janus bear flag reversal, then I’d expect a failure here or not too much higher. If the IHSes are for real then the respective targets on SPX/NDX and RUT would be in the 2792, 6920 and 108 areas respectively. I’ll be taking the bull targets seriously if SPX reaches 2712. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)