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The following is the opening segment of this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 276:
Somewhere along the road from the 2000 bottom in gold stocks to the 2008 flame out of inflationary hysteria, the gold stock sector went from counter cyclical first mover to ‘inflation trade’ also ran. Gold stocks put in a secular bear market bottom in 2000 just as the US and many global economies were topping out. (more…)
What more needs to be said? The stock market has been inflated along with the unsavory likes of Junk Bonds and many other ridiculously over valued items in this phase of ‘risk ON’ speculation. 3 Amigos of ‘risk OFF’ are also shown on the chart.
Bank of America is the 3rd bank I have heard about this week that has experienced lower mortgage origination revenues. Makes sense, with the climb in mortgage rates. Yet BAC had better than expected results due in part to fixed income trading revenue. What, gaming the credit markets? That sure is productive for America. (more…)
How I [they] Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb [Market] paraphrasing Stanley Kubrick’s great cold war/nuclear paranoia film Dr. Strangelove (1964).
What Has Been
A solid 2.5 years of risk management (to varying degrees) has been required of precious metals investors. It was most intensely required after the announcement of QE3, when the net commercial short position in silver began a relentless march toward a very bearish alignment in late 2012 and then the HUI Gold Bugs index lost an important support level at around 460. Here is the chart of silver with a heavy commercial net short position from NFTRH 215, dated 12.2.12: (more…)
