Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Sector Shorts: Auto Manufacturing

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Preface to all sector posts: I’m not going to dance around it: I am very short again. I have 99 different short positions and am aggressively positioned for the week ahead. I have gone through all my charts and have broken a portion of them into distinct sectors. Here is the next gallery, and as always, you can click on any thumbnail for a larger image. You can scroll left and right through the gallery.

Sector Shorts: Technology

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Preface to all sector posts: I’m not going to dance around it: I am very short again. I have 99 different short positions and am aggressively positioned for the week ahead. I have gone through all my charts and have broken a portion of them into distinct sectors. Here is the next gallery, and as always, you can click on any thumbnail for a larger image. You can scroll left and right through the gallery.

Focus on the Semis

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Greetings, one and all, from another hotel suite, where it’s approaching 2 in the morning and I feel compelled to post a few charts. It’s what I do.

I am quite fixated these days on semiconductors, so I took a look at the components of the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF, whose components can be seen here. I took a look at them all, and the gallery below has the ones I found the most interesting. I am, naturally, short in multiple ways this entire group.

EWY South Korea ETF, Proxy for Global Tech, Probing Key Support

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Many Street analysts consider the iShares South Korea ETF (EWY) as a proxy for the health of global technology, the semiconductor sector, the chip sector, and perhaps the retail electronics sector as well.

One look at my weekly chart of EWY shows that it has been in the grasp of a major correction or possibly even bear phase since its January all-time high at 79.07 into Tuesday’s low at 56.34, a near 30% decline.  This decline has retraced two-thirds of of the entire prior advance from the August 2015 low at 42.94 to the January 2018 high at 79.07. One could think that the ugly EWY performance reflected deteriorating relations with North Korea, but, ironically, relations have not been so promising since 1950! (more…)