Let’s jump back to the beginning of 2025 with this post .
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Volatility Ready to Return
Four days of plunging, but this is about to end…………..
Rationalize THIS
Yesterday evening’s Nvidia earnings slapped on trillions of dollars of recovered market value to stocks around the world. The chart of the /ES below shows the beneficial effect of the NVDA news (green arrow). This was augmented, but only slightly, by the jobs report which showed the unemployment rate had increased to 4.4% (more realistic figure: 24%) and that monthly earnings had increased less than expected (0.2% instead of 0.3%). Thus, as shown by the red arrow, the /ES got up to about a triple-digit overnight increase, with the /NQ up almost 500 points. Zowie!
ANOTHER One?
As an equity bear, my anxiety has made a shift. It has changed from:
- “This is unbearable. When’s this gonna end?!?!?”
to
- “This is great! When’s this gonna end?!?!?”
As you can see, I am malcontented.
(more…)One Nuclear Bomb Can Ruin Your Whole Day
Like many of you, I grew up during the Cold War. For my entire childhood, the U.S. and U.S.S.R. were the bitterest enemies, and there was always a lurking fear that someone would press “the button” (wherever it was) and bring all life on Earth to an end. It didn’t make for a great atmosphere, although in retrospect it at least helped most politicians in our own country more-or-less get along with each other. Few things unite a people more than a common enemy.
