Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Silent Scream

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It’s obviously more of a kick when things are falling, but looking at today’s action, we have seen this movie before. In fact, we’ve seen it multiple times lately. The unicorns are cavorting once more in the meadow, and everyone is bidding assets up. But one glance at the past couple of months on the ES simply screams “short me!” even though it’s virtually impossible to do so on a day like this and feel good about it. It only feels good after the fact. That’s why hardly anyone does it. “Sell into strength” are three of the easiest words to say but most difficult to actually execute.

0414-es

Happy Little Trees

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I can’t draw. But I’ve always been fascinated by people who could, and part of the reason is a feeling that I’ve never discussed with anyone before.

It’s not that it’s particularly embarrassing or anything. But as a child I distinctly remember what would happen when someone would go up to the chalkboard and carefully draw something out. Or perhaps I’d see a television program in which someone was painting. Anytime anyone was slowly and carefully doing something illustrative, I got this……….funny feeling. (more…)

Short Palo Alto

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My town has changed. When I first came here, in 1984, it was a pretty standard college town. Sure, the houses were kind of pricey, but the look and feel of the place wasn’t that much different than you’d probably get in any other town next to a big, well-known college.

But things have changed a lot lately. And I’ve got to say, the kinds of changes I’m seeing weren’t really apparent during the Internet bubble. For some reason, the self-importance and money-worship didn’t really take root until recently, after the financial crisis. (more…)

The “FROTH” Awaits…

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Since my last post of March 1st, the ES has made a new high, after experiencing a tremendous amount of volatility, as shown on the following Daily chart.

You can see that price nearly reached a 100% Fibonacci Extension level on Thursday, before declining on Friday. This extension was measured from the 2012 lows. For the most part, price has remained within the lower half of its channel from those lows. (more…)