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SPX has been consolidating for a few days now, and generally speaking a consolidation like this leans bullish. I gave the ideal target for this rally at the weekly middle band and that remains the case in my view. That is now in the 4294 area.
The powers-that-be are in horrible danger. They are frantically defending these levels. Another major downturn would lay waste to their already tattered, worthless reputations.
For six trading days – – that spans three calendar WEEKS – – the market has been positively stuck in a relatively teeny little range. On the one hand, there was the preposterous and ultimately pointless counter-trend rally which exploded into the Memorial Day weekend. On the other hand, there is the Himalayan Mountain Range of overhead supply holding prices back.
There’s a reason all the charts below, which are comprised of a wide variety of financial instruments from all over the globe, yet still all look the same. The reason is that, in a just and sane universe, every single one of them should get absolutely blown to hell this summer. It’s as simple as that.
In my last post a week ago I was talking about the prospects on SPX for testing the weekly middle band, currently at 4312, on this rally, with particular reference to the very historically bullish two first days of June, which were the last two days. Unfortunately for the bulls, these were both wasted in a sideways consolidation, so reaching that target now looks more doubtful, and the odds of a break down before that target is reached have increased.