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Good morning, everyone. I’m not complaining, but it’s awfully quiet. As I am typing these words, the /ES is literally +0.00, as the continuous flow of pronouncements and denials from the White House hasn’t started yet. Last night there was a bit of excitement in auto-land, as, yet again, “exemptions” were proposed for cars. That caused car-making companies like GM (below) to rocket higher, only to fall to a loss when they realized that the credibility of this administration is just about zilch.
In my last post on Friday 11th April I was looking at likely rallies coming on both Crypto and equities, and posted some charts looking at the options for that rally on Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Solana (SOLUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD).
I posted the contemporaneous chart below back in December and I noted on the chart then that any sharp decline on equity indices historically took Bitcoin down with it, as we have seen, and noted on 11th April that any significant rally on equities would likely take Bitcoin up with it. We’ve been seeing that since.
(more…)In my last post on Thursday I was projecting a possible path for US indices if we are going to see decent quality bear flags form on this rally, and initially they were going to need to go down, which they have. They overshot my target trendline options at the lows yesterday, but that’s fine, as long as they turn back up in this area or not too far below into new highs for this rally.
On the SPX chart the current low could make a very decent support trendline and, if we see a next leg up start towards a new rally high, the ideal target would be the resistance trendline currently in the 5590 area. Possible resistance on the way at declining resistance from the high, currently in the 5500 area. A 15min RSI 14 buy signal has fixed.
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