I’m watching a few different timeframes to get ideas from a technical perspective in SPX. I’m sure everyone in the past two weeks has been hearing about how “After a large down year, the S&P 500 returns +%”, blah blah blah. While I understand and occasionally do studies like that, I think calendar year is simply too long of a timeframe. It doesn’t capture the length or nuance of the bear markets to determine the next short-term move as we only have about 70 (?) reliable yearly candlesticks to base any analysis on, which doesn’t seem like a lot at all. I prefer to use quarterly as the longest time frame for my candlesticks.





