Pretty mesmerizing what’s happened to the yield curve this year.

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Pretty mesmerizing what’s happened to the yield curve this year.

I look at my 50 ETF charts each day, and I was doing so, something odd occurred to me: the chart of the treasury bonds ultrashort fund (symbol TBT) sure did look similar to, of all things, natural gas (UNG). Just for the hell of it, I put them on top of each other, and my recollection was accurate…….

This is a monstrous sea change, and the blinkered, pig-ignorant public just doesn’t get it.
(more…)Within the past week, the regional bank ETF symbol KBE broken its major trendline. This was positive news for the bears of the world (AKA me, Baby Bear, TNR, and four other people). This positive news has gone super-positive, as the H&S topping pattern of KBE is now complete. Banks are screwed and tattooed. It couldn’t happen to a nicer group.

Let’s talk about the bond market and yields. We will kick off with the number one guy in fixed income at the investment giant Charles Schwab. Only the Lord knows how much this guy is paid, so he must be brilliant. Let’s see what he was saying in July 2020:
