Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Using the SlopeCharts Earnings Mode

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From The Director: Tim has graciously offered to work together with me to develop charting tools that can aid the testing and design of new pre and post earnings approaches in using options to make profitable investing strategies.

Other services have benefited from using past data (both options and underlying data) to generate probabilities for certain movements in underlying stock. We can utilize these probabilities to generate option strategies, backtest the same strategies, and offer a framework wherein we trade these strategies prospectively, which can aid the keen investor.

None of what we discuss here should be construed as a trade recommendation or advice, but rather look at this tutorial as a tool you can use to improve your trading. (more…)

The Bottom in 10-Year Treasury Yield Signals a Change of Era

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by Michael Paulenoff, MPtrader.com

Summary

  • The bear market for benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is at its end – disruption is coming
  • Numerous indicators corroborate: we are in the midst of an economic transition
  • Will the Powell Fed quickly evolve into a strong counter-balance to the powerful economic transition?
  • On an intraday basis, we explore these overarching themes overlaid on price behavior in my private investing community at MPtrader.com.

Take a close look at the monthly chart of benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield (Fig. 1) for the period 1981-2018, a 37year period. The dominant bear market for yield may still be alive but is not necessarily all that well.

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Interview Just Like Gartman

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One of the most frequent guests in the world of financial media is the “commodity king” Gartman TuxDennis Gartman. In spite of his moniker, he chimes in far more on equities than commodities, and his nearly daily appearances on Fox Business, CNBC, Bloomberg, the trade show circuit, or whoever else will have him, have made him a glowing success story. At least if you measure success by being repeatedly invited back to share market opinions.

As has been pointed out ad nauseam in the comments section of many a blog (particularly ZeroHedge), Mr. Gartman, in spite of his efforts, appears to be wrong far more often than right. Many would say his percentage of being wrong is something approaching 100%, although my own informal analysis puts the figure at a kinder 70% or so.

Oh, and allow me to say this before going further: those of you who feel it clever to comment that people should just do the opposite or whatever Gartman says, or that there should be a triple-inverse Gartman Fund – – you should know the identical comment has been made, oh, thousands of times already, so what may seem clever and saucy to you is, in fact, tired and boring. So save your typing, because the thought you just had isn’t original.

Anyway……….. (more…)