Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Euro Will Survive For a While (by BBFinance)

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In a way the two subjects are related and they just show all the nonsense that is going around.

1st the Euro. We know that the situation in Europe is getting from bad to worse. Contagion is a real threat. Let us look at the interrelated debt structure of European countries. It is like one Insolvent giving guarantee for another insolvent. Actually it is so.

  Europe-debt

My theory is that we shall see a break up of Euro and emergence of two Euro. A Northern Euro and a Southern Euro. But it is not going to happen tomorrow and I am sure of that not happening anytime time soon because of the following:

110718 EconomistCover

This is the front page of the Economist. When MSM starts to predict doom, it is usually other way round. They are spreading fear and doom but they will also force the hands of the reluctant politicians for one last round. Don’t forget, most of trade surplus of Germany is coming out of the PIIGS countries. If PIIGS go down, Germany goes down with them. So it is in the interest of Germany, not out of any love of Greece, that Angela Merkel will find a solution this Thursday. By solution I mean giving some more money and buy some more time. In the mean time, I expect Euro to go up to 1.50 or beyond. That will be a good time to short because then your money is guaranteed.

Coming back to Larry Summers, he is one of the reasons, Obama’s economic team never delivered.  He now wrote an op-ed in Financial Times about how to save Euro. You can read it here: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/324f9054-b0a7-11e0-a5a7-00144feab49a.html#axzz1SajET0dR

The long and short of it is that ECB is right in protecting creditors and no financial institutions should be allowed to fail. In other word, do anything but save the banks. Now we know why Obama is Bush II. Because the people Obama chose, are from big financial institutions. Same people who caused the crisis in the 1st place with their greed, lies and recklessness.  And people like Summers made sure that these big financial institutions are rewarded for their action. When he was in Harvard, he almost destroyed it. When he was with Obama, he made sure that his buddies in banks are taken care off and ordinary Americans are whipped. Now he goes to give the solution for Europe where by the big banks in Europe should be saved at any cost and the people in Greece, Italy, Ireland, Spain, should pay more taxes, endure hardships in the name of austerity and their assets should be sold off to the highest bidders. In other word, Summers suggest the same type of enslavement which he practiced in USA.  

Banksters-cartoon

It is a pity that people like him is allowed to express their opinion.

Shorting China (by Mike Paulenoff)

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A look at the chart of the inverse China Stock Index ETF — the ProShares UltraShort FTSE/XINHUA 25 Stock Index (FXP) — suggests strongly that slowing Chinese growth and climbing inflation remain part of the problem, not part of the solution — at least, not yet.

As we noted for subscribers last night, Wednesday's sharp afternoon advance in the FXP after the morning's weakness positions the inverse China ETF to accelerate to the upside towards a test of multi-month resistance between 32.00 and 33.00. If hurdled, this will confirm the upside breakout from a major base formation that has the potential to propel the FXP to 39.00-41.00 in the weeks ahead.

Let's notice that the price structure has carved out a significant "W" pattern, which represents accumulation of the FXP — or price distribution within the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI). In either case, the pattern forewarns us to expect potentially serious negativity and equity liquidation in the China equity markets in the weeks immediately ahead.

While I have no idea what the fundamental story will be, I strongly suspect the global stock markets are entering a period of vulnerability to the China headline risk.

Unless the FXP reverses sharply and breaks below 28.30, today's upside breakout represents the initiation of the thrust towards 32.00-33.00.

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Originally published on MPTrader.com.

One Possible Path

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Like I've said, we're all FOREX traders now. Actually, we're not even that – – we are Greek Election Predictors now, since it seems that my carefully-selected U.S. equities are dependent upon some obscure vote-of-confidence in the tiny nation of Greece this Sunday. Which will dictate the Euro. Which will in turn dictate the U.S. stock market. Sheesh.

Anyway, here's one possibility early next week if things don't go well:

0617-EURO