Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Blame It On Rio

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Poor Brazil. Their president has the lowest approval rating in the history of any elected leader in recorded history (last I checked, 8% and falling – – even lower than Obama!), their commodities-dependent economy is in tatters, their stock market does nothing but fall, and their feces-infested waterways are freaking out those planning to be in the Olympics in 2016 who fear getting terribly ill. Sometimes things are so broken, they just keep getting worse:

0813-brazil

Huh?

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OK, it’s really early, so I’m not going to bother researching. I’ll just ask instead.

On Monday, the market exploded higher. Crude oil and related companies in particular vomited particularly energetically, with some stocks zipping 40%, 50%, or even more on the day. This led to a fairly miserable session for your humble narrator (whom, I think we can all agree, really only deserves pleasant, profitable sessions. I mean, he’s a nice guy and all).

The reason for this mega-rally? Simple: because the completely fake Chinese economy is falling to pieces, there was hope that the Chinese government would intervene. Since we live in totally inauthentic markets where central bank intervention is all that matters anymore (well, that, plus really retarded corporate names like “Alphabet”) bulls around the world bid up prices like mad.

Well, it happened. China intervened. They took action.

So now, as I stand here, with my dogs staring at me waiting for their walk, I ask you this sincere question: why are equities crumbling, and why in particular has crude oil lost 100% of its utterly baseless gains from yesterday? I’d really like to know. Because the world is pushing me to the point where very little makes sense anymore.

The Bigger Triangles

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The small triangles I was looking at yesterday broke up and then retraced, so they are played out now. That has helped define the larger triangles that I mentioned which are shown below on SPX and Dow. I’m leaning towards a break up from these triangles towards Stan’s 2015 high target in the 2165 area, as long as SPX can hold the 2087 (current) floor area. SPX 60min chart:

150806 SPX 60min Triangle

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