Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Brazil

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We are back to an “Othello” market. Down one day. Up the next. Down the next day. Up once again. I have just described this entire week to you.

Although stocks are very strong at the moment, I would suggest to you that Brazil’s longer-term trend is still downward, and that the ETF shown below is quite vulnerable to resuming its tumble the moment the “buy” algos are off.

ewz

A World Financial Battle Approaches

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The first three ratio charts show:

  1. the U.S. Financial ETF (XLF) compared with the SPX,
  2. the European Financial ETF (EUFN) compared with the STOX50, and
  3. the Chinese Financial ETF (GXC) compared with the SSEC.

Each one’s Financial ETF is weaker than its country’s major index, and in the case of the EUFN and GXC ratios, are sitting at a major support level, while the XLF ratio is approaching major support.

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Beyond the Border Breakdown

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It was only a few trading days ago that most U.S. equity indexes were at the highest levels in the history of Earth. They are cheerfully and blissfully overvalued, far more than all prior bubbles, and no meaningful breakdown has occurred in over 30 months. Even so, the markets outside the U.S. has been ripping at the seams, and I wanted to share seven charts that are illustrative of that happy fact:

slopechart DXJ (more…)