Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Does Hedged Investing Work?

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A Blast From The Past

Hey Fellow Slopers,

Early last year, I posted about a hedged portfolio investing method we developed at Portfolio Armor. The basic idea was to find securities that had high expected returns over the next six months and were also relatively cheap to hedge, and then to buy and hedge a handful of those names every six months. One of you asked if I had backtested this method, and I hadn’t. So, I took a break from posting for a bit while I did that. The backtesting turned out to be a lot more time consuming than I anticipated, but it’s done and now I can share with you the results. First, a quick recap of the hedged portfolio method.

The Hedged Portfolio Method (more…)

Downside Protection For ADM

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In a post on Monday (“VXX Sucks”), our host Tim noted the double digit move in the VIX (though not in VXX, which has made longs’ money evaporate since inception) on the day. With volatility getting a mild bump, I thought I’d take a look at the hedging costs of a few widely-traded stocks trading near their 52-week highs. Agricultural powerhouse Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) was one that was relatively inexpensive to hedge. Here are two ways of doing that over the next several months. (more…)

Softening The Blow For Netflix Longs

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Shares of Netflix (NFLX) dropped nearly 7% on Monday, as Carl Icahn told CNBC that he may have sold half of his Netflix stake. In a post last month (“Investing alongside Carl Icahn while limiting your downside risk”), we presented a hedged portfolio constructed out of the holdings of Carl Icahn’s Icahn Enterprises (IEP) by the automated portfolio construction tool at Portfolio Armor. That portfolio included a hedged Netflix position, circled below. (more…)